Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.045458 0.049503 0.053605 0.058067 0.062779 0.067599 0.072895
2024-10-06 0.039639 0.045653 0.051977 0.059095 0.066857 0.075037 0.084283
2024-10-13 0.035013 0.042453 0.050537 0.059910 0.070415 0.081764 0.094890
2024-10-20 0.030316 0.038648 0.047992 0.059130 0.071930 0.086066 0.102746
2024-10-27 0.027407 0.036553 0.047102 0.059981 0.075098 0.092102 0.112495
2024-11-03 0.024279 0.033886 0.045278 0.059515 0.076565 0.096073 0.119823
2024-11-10 0.021991 0.032019 0.044218 0.059785 0.078761 0.100797 0.127973
2024-11-17 0.020280 0.030711 0.043700 0.060590 0.081504 0.106108 0.136788
2024-11-24 0.019739 0.030845 0.044934 0.063524 0.086821 0.114499 0.149301
2024-12-01 0.017238 0.028180 0.042430 0.061619 0.086068 0.115503 0.152932
2024-12-08 0.015548 0.026482 0.041061 0.061049 0.086883 0.118342 0.158726
2024-12-15 0.014107 0.025017 0.039903 0.060663 0.087858 0.121328 0.164671
2024-12-22 0.013619 0.024927 0.040629 0.062815 0.092174 0.128593 0.176061
2024-12-29 0.012813 0.024307 0.040587 0.063921 0.095143 0.134208 0.185479
2025-01-05 0.012001 0.023613 0.040394 0.064793 0.097797 0.139438 0.194460
2025-01-12 0.010758 0.022149 0.039020 0.063976 0.098173 0.141745 0.199774
2025-01-19 0.010110 0.021583 0.038907 0.064878 0.100821 0.146960 0.208777
2025-01-26 0.009149 0.020420 0.037845 0.064387 0.101555 0.149685 0.214615
2025-02-02 0.008467 0.019670 0.037356 0.064673 0.103316 0.153732 0.222149
2025-02-09 0.007976 0.019210 0.037276 0.065524 0.105835 0.158768 0.230963
2025-02-16 0.008029 0.019724 0.038720 0.068619 0.111486 0.167968 0.245210
2025-02-23 0.006970 0.018116 0.036746 0.066610 0.109986 0.167678 0.247149
2025-03-02 0.006293 0.017157 0.035752 0.066008 0.110415 0.169924 0.252373